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Table 2 Hazard ratios of long term care entry by age, sex, extremity injuries, rehabilitation and dementia

From: Extremity injuries and dementia disproportionately increase the risk for long-term care at older age in an analysis of German Health Insurance routine data for the years 2006 to 2010

 

Model 1a

 

Model 2b

Model 3c

HR

95% CI

HR

95% CI

HR

95% CI

Age

 65–69 (ref.)

1.00

   

1.00

  

1.00

  

 70–74

1.62

1.51

1.73

 

1.62

1.52

1.73

1.56

1.47

1.67

 75–79

2.89

2.72

3.08

 

2.90

2.72

3.09

2.65

2.49

2.83

 80–84

5.25

4.93

5.58

 

5.26

4.95

5.60

4.53

4.26

4.83

 85–89

8.96

8.41

9.55

 

8.99

8.43

9.58

7.51

7.04

8.01

 90–94

14.29

13.30

15.36

 

14.32

13.32

15.39

11.51

10.69

12.39

 95 plus

18.91

17.12

20.89

 

18.87

17.08

20.84

15.46

13.98

17.10

Male (ref.)

1.00

   

1.00

  

1.00

  

Female

0.90

0.88

0.92

 

0.90

0.88

0.92

1.05

1.02

1.08

No rehabilitation (ref.)

       

1.00

  

Rehabilitation

       

1.50

1.45

1.55

No dementia

1.00

         

Dementia

4.23

4.11

4.35

       

No EI

 

1.00

  

No dementia

1.00

  

1.00

  
   

Dementia

3.92

3.77

4.07

3.30

3.17

3.43

NSEI

 Lower

1.09

1.05

1.14

No dementia

1.03

0.98

1.09

0.98

0.93

1.03

   

Dementia

4.87

4.57

5.19

3.91

3.66

4.17

 Upper

0.97

0.92

1.01

No dementia

0.86

0.81

0.91

0.83

0.78

0.88

   

Dementia

4.74

4.42

5.09

3.71

3.46

3.99

 Both

1.36

1.29

1.44

No dementia

1.34

1.25

1.43

1.22

1.14

1.31

   

Dementia

5.67

5.22

6.16

4.23

3.89

4.60

SEI

 Lower

1.67

1.57

1.79

No dementia

1.63

1.50

1.76

1.35

1.25

1.46

   

Dementia

7.08

6.33

7.92

5.00

4.47

5.60

 Upper

1.27

1.19

1.37

No dementia

1.19

1.09

1.29

1.11

1.02

1.21

   

Dementia

5.97

5.26

6.77

4.85

4.27

5.51

 Both

1.94

1.81

2.07

No dementia

1.95

1.79

2.11

1.63

1.50

1.77

   

Dementia

7.73

6.92

8.63

5.06

4.52

5.66;

  1. aModel 1 includes extremity injuries and dementia as individual variables and no interaction effect
  2. bModels 2 and 3 include extremity injuries and dementia as interaction effect
  3. cModel 3 controls for comorbidities (see Appendix for multivariate results)
  4. Source: AOK claims data, own calculations