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Table 2 Hazard ratios of long term care entry by age, sex, extremity injuries, rehabilitation and dementia

From: Extremity injuries and dementia disproportionately increase the risk for long-term care at older age in an analysis of German Health Insurance routine data for the years 2006 to 2010

  Model 1a   Model 2b Model 3c
HR 95% CI HR 95% CI HR 95% CI
Age
 65–69 (ref.) 1.00     1.00    1.00   
 70–74 1.62 1.51 1.73   1.62 1.52 1.73 1.56 1.47 1.67
 75–79 2.89 2.72 3.08   2.90 2.72 3.09 2.65 2.49 2.83
 80–84 5.25 4.93 5.58   5.26 4.95 5.60 4.53 4.26 4.83
 85–89 8.96 8.41 9.55   8.99 8.43 9.58 7.51 7.04 8.01
 90–94 14.29 13.30 15.36   14.32 13.32 15.39 11.51 10.69 12.39
 95 plus 18.91 17.12 20.89   18.87 17.08 20.84 15.46 13.98 17.10
Male (ref.) 1.00     1.00    1.00   
Female 0.90 0.88 0.92   0.90 0.88 0.92 1.05 1.02 1.08
No rehabilitation (ref.)         1.00   
Rehabilitation         1.50 1.45 1.55
No dementia 1.00          
Dementia 4.23 4.11 4.35        
No EI
  1.00    No dementia 1.00    1.00   
    Dementia 3.92 3.77 4.07 3.30 3.17 3.43
NSEI
 Lower 1.09 1.05 1.14 No dementia 1.03 0.98 1.09 0.98 0.93 1.03
    Dementia 4.87 4.57 5.19 3.91 3.66 4.17
 Upper 0.97 0.92 1.01 No dementia 0.86 0.81 0.91 0.83 0.78 0.88
    Dementia 4.74 4.42 5.09 3.71 3.46 3.99
 Both 1.36 1.29 1.44 No dementia 1.34 1.25 1.43 1.22 1.14 1.31
    Dementia 5.67 5.22 6.16 4.23 3.89 4.60
SEI
 Lower 1.67 1.57 1.79 No dementia 1.63 1.50 1.76 1.35 1.25 1.46
    Dementia 7.08 6.33 7.92 5.00 4.47 5.60
 Upper 1.27 1.19 1.37 No dementia 1.19 1.09 1.29 1.11 1.02 1.21
    Dementia 5.97 5.26 6.77 4.85 4.27 5.51
 Both 1.94 1.81 2.07 No dementia 1.95 1.79 2.11 1.63 1.50 1.77
    Dementia 7.73 6.92 8.63 5.06 4.52 5.66;
  1. aModel 1 includes extremity injuries and dementia as individual variables and no interaction effect
  2. bModels 2 and 3 include extremity injuries and dementia as interaction effect
  3. cModel 3 controls for comorbidities (see Appendix for multivariate results)
  4. Source: AOK claims data, own calculations
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European Review of Aging and Physical Activity

ISSN: 1861-6909

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